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Buccaneers vs. Giants odds, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions by NFL model on 128-89 run


The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3) sit atop the NFC South standings despite losing their last two games. They’ll host the NFC East’s New York Giants (3-6) on Monday Night Football to wrap up Week 11. The visitors have won two of their last three games, but taking down one of the NFL’s top teams at home won’t be easy. Since securing a narrow win in its home season-opener, Tampa Bay has been dominant at Raymond James Stadium, but has lost its last two games overall.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is favored by 11 points in the latest Buccaneers vs. Giants odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 50. Before locking in your Giants vs. Buccaneers picks, make sure you check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-89 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Giants vs. Buccaneers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s Monday Night Football picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Giants vs. Buccaneers:

  • Buccaneers vs. Giants spread: Buccaneers -11 
  • Buccaneers vs. Giants over-under: 50 points  
  • Buccaneers vs. Giants money line: Tampa Bay -550, New York +400  
  • NYG: The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their previous five road games against the Buccaneers 
  • TB: The Buccaneers are 5-0 straight up in their last five home games

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants

Why the Giants can cover

New York’s straight-up record is underwhelming, but its record against the spread on the road isn’t. The Giants are 3-1 against the number away from home this year, and just six teams have covered the spread more often this season.

The Giants have covered in three consecutive games since getting blown out against the Los Angeles Rams. Their often underwhelming offense fell short against the Chiefs by three at Arrowhead and outscored the Raiders 23-16. Tom Brady has thrown four picks over his last two games, and the Buccaneers’ secondary hasn’t recorded a pick during that span. New York could stay close if Tampa Bay keeps turning the ball over and struggles to defend the pass. 

Why the Buccaneers can cover

Tampa Bay’s last two losses have come away from Raymond James Stadium, but the Bucs have been one of the NFL’s best teams at home. They’re 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread as hosts in 2021. They could build on their impressive run at home on Monday Night Football.

The Buccaneers have won three straight home games by double-digits since edging out the Cowboys by two points in the season-opener. Tampa Bay has won its last three home games by an average of 28.6 points, and its success has depended on a dynamic passing attack. The Bucs boast league-high marks in passing yards per game (315.6) and passing touchdowns (27), but the Giants don’t have the same firepower and struggle to run the ball.

How to make Giants vs. Buccaneers picks 

SportsLine’s model is leaning over the total, projecting the teams to combine for 50 points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Giants vs. Buccaneers picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Giants vs. Buccaneers on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Giants vs. Buccaneers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,500 on its NFL picks, and find out.

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