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What Iran’s Election Tells Us About Where It’s Headed

What Iran’s Election Tells Us About Where It’s Headed

The die-hard cleric Ebrahim Raisi won Iran’s presidential election on Saturday, a move that should strengthen the conservative legacy of the country’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

The move is not expected to derail ongoing negotiations to reinstate the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) nuclear deal, even though Raisi himself faces US sanctions on charges of human rights violations. human rights. Many voters stayed away from the polls as the outcome had been predicted for months and many progressive candidates were banned from running.

The Islamic Republic has entered a post-revolutionary dynamic in which a declining revolutionary generation seeks to ensure that the rising political leadership supports its revolutionary ideals, ”said Norman T. Roule, former head of national intelligence for Iran. at ODNI and Cipher Brief expert. “The regime’s decision to ban so many candidates and the low turnout make this election a historic embarrassment for the regime and its supporters.

The Cipher Brief spoke with Roule about what the elections mean and what they don’t in regards to relations with the West, the progressive movement in Iran and the impact of the elections on the oil markets.

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